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Under each candidate (L » R): Pop. Vote Percentage - Electoral Points
----------------- Harry S. Thomas E. J. Strom Henry
State | Electoral Truman Dewey Thurmond Wallace
| Votes Democrat Republican States Rights Progressive
----------------- Dixiecrat
Group C (1st priority - 5,000 pts each, 50,000 pts total)
21. Minnesota (11) 57.16% 2,945 39.89% 2,055 2.30% ---
22. Mississippi (9) 10.09% 1,250 2.62% --- 87.17% 3,750 0.12% ---
23. Missouri (12) 58.11% 2,917 41.49% 2,083 0.25% ---
24. Montana (4) 53.09% 2,758 43.15% 2,242 3.26% ---
25. Nebraska (6) 45.85% 2,292 54.15% 2,708
26. Nevada (3) 50.37% 2,580 47.26% 2,420 2.36% ---
27. New Hampshire (4) 46.66% 2,355 52.41% 2,645 0.85% ---
28. New Jersey (16) 45.93% 2,386 50.33% 2,614 2.19% ---
29. New Mexico (4) 56.38% 2,839 42.93% 2,161 0.55% ---
30. New York (47) 45.01% 2,268 45.99% 2,317 8.25% 415
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So Far (50,000) 24,590 21,245 3,750 415
Needed to Win - 71,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog
Group D (2nd priority - 4,000 pts each, 36,000 pts total)
31. North Carolina (14) 58.02% 2,332 32.68% 1,314 8.80% 354 0.49% ---
32. North Dakota (4) 43.41% 1,817 52.17% 2,183 0.17% --- 3.80% ---
33. Ohio (25) 49.48% 2,005 49.24% 1,995 1.28% ---
34. Oklahoma (10) 62.75% 2,510 37.25% 1,490
35. Oregon (6) 46.40% 1,930 49.78% 2,070 2.86% ---
36. Pennsylvania (35) 46.92% 1,918 50.93% 2,082 1.48% ---
37. Rhode Island (4) 57.59% 2,326 41.44% 1,674 0.80% ---
38. South Carolina (8) 24.14% 1,066 3.78% --- 71.97% 2,934 0.11% ---
39. South Dakota (4) 47.04% 1,903 51.84% 2,097 1.12% ---
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So Far (86,000) 42,397 36,150 7,038 415
Needed to Win - 71,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog
Group E (3rd priority - 3,000 pts each, 27,000 pts total)
40. Tennessee (12) 49.14% 1,483 36.87% 1,113 13.41% 404 0.34% ---
41. Texas (23) 65.96% 1,992 24.29% 733 9.11% 275 0.31% ---
42. Utah (6) 53.98% 1,636 45.02% 1,364 0.97% ---
43. Vermont (3) 36.92% 1,125 61.54% 1,875 1.04% ---
44. Virginia (11) 47.89% 1,447 41.04% 1,240 10.35% 313 0.49% ---
45. Washington (8) 52.61% 1,590 42.68% 1,410 3.50% ---
46. West Virginia (8) 57.32% 1,727 42.24% 1,273 0.44% ---
47. Wisconsin (12) 50.70% 1,568 46.28% 1,432 1.98% ---
48. Wyoming (3) 51.62% 1,566 47.27% 1,434 0.92% ---
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So Far (113,000) 56,531 48,024 8,030 415
Needed to Win - 71,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog
Group A (4th priority - 2,000 pts each, 20,000 pts total)
1. Alabama (11) +++1 19.04% 500 79.75% 1,500 0.71% ---
2. Arizona (4) 53.79% 1,102 43.82% 898 1.87% ---
3. Arkansas (9) 61.72% 1,244 21.02% 424 16.52% 332 0.31% ---
4. California (25) 47.57% 1,005 47.13% 995 0.03% --- 4.73% ---
5. Colorado (6) 51.88% 1,056 46.42% 944 1.55% ---
6. Connecticut (8) 47.91% 983 49.55% 1,017 1.55% ---
7. Delaware (3) 48.76% 987 50.04% 1,013 0.75% ---
8. Florida (8) 48.82% 996 33.63% 686 15.54% 318 2.01% ---
9. Georgia (12) 60.81% 1,223 18.31% 368 20.31% 409 0.39% ---
10. Idaho (4) 49.98% 1,028 47.26% 972 2.31% ---
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So Far (133,000) 66,155 55,841 10,589 415
Needed to Win - 71,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog
+++1 = Alabama (Group A, above)
The state's Democratic Party leadership kept Truman's name off of all state ballots,
and apparently offered the voters unpledged electors instead. Thurmond and Dewey were
the only named candidates eligible to receive Electoral Points.
Group B (5th priority - 1,000 pts each, 10,000 pts total)
11. Illinois (28) 50.07% 504 49.22% 496
12. Indiana (13) 48.78% 496 49.58% 504 0.58% ---
13. Iowa (10) 50.31% 514 47.58% 486 1.17% ---
14. Kansas (8) 44.61% 454 53.63% 546 0.58% ---
15. Kentucky (11) 56.74% 578 41.48% 422 1.27% --- 0.19% ---
16. Louisiana (10) 32.75% 330 17.45% 176 49.07% 494 0.73% ---
17. Maine (5) 42.27% 427 56.74% 573 0.71% ---
18. Maryland (8) 48.01% 493 49.40% 507 0.41% --- 1.67% ---
19. Massachusetts (16) 54.66% 559 43.16% 441 1.81% ---
20. Michigan (19) 47.57% 491 49.23% 509 2.20% ---
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TOTAL - 143,000 71,001 60,501 11,083 415
Needed to Win - 71,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog
Finish Order Leader-1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Perecentage of Points 49.65105% 42.30839% 7.75035% 0.29021%
No winner in the Electoral Points Proposal format. A run-off between Truman and Dewey
would be scheduled for Tuesday November 30th, 1948. If Dewey wins the run-off, then
he would be inaugurated on February 3rd 1949, two weeks later than the regular January
20th date. If Truman won the run-off, he would be inaugurated on the regular January
20th date.
Make special note that Truman is only 509 points short of the 71,510 need-to-win mark,
while Dewey is 10,500 points behind Truman and 11,509 points short of the need-to-win
mark. If Dewey felt that he could not surpass Truman and win the run-off, then Dewey
could exercise the Voluntary Concession Option.
If Dewey did indeed choose not to go through with the run-off and voluntarily conceded
the race, then 519 of his own electoral points would be given to Truman, who would then
be certified as the 1948 election, with a final point count of 71,520 to Dewey's 59,982.
In actual fact, Truman was the outright winner of the 1948 election.
Good Night, Mr. H. V. Kaltenborn - wherever you are !!!
Need-to-Win Ratios (Final Tally vs Minimum Needed) ...
»» Electoral Points - No concession (71,001 - 71,510): 0.992882-1
Concession (71,520 - 71,510): 1.000140-1
»» Electoral Votes (303 - 266): 1.139098-1
Truman-Dewey Ratios -- Electoral Points: 1.192358-1 (assumes concession)
Electoral Votes: 1.603175-1
Electoral Votes (531) ***2 303 (57.06215%) 189 (35.59322%) 39 (7.34463%) None
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|-- Actual (1948) Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog
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Popular Votes (48,793,535) 24,179,347 21,991,292 1,175,930 1,157,328
Pctage of Pop. Votes 49.55441% 45.07009% 2.41001% 2.37189%
***2 = A faithless Tennessee Democratic elector chose Strom Thurmond instead of Harry Truman
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