Under each candidate (L » R): Pop. Vote Percentage - Electoral Points ----------------- Harry S. Thomas E. J. Strom Henry State | Electoral Truman Dewey Thurmond Wallace | Votes Democrat Republican States Rights Progressive ----------------- Dixiecrat Group C .. 1st priority - 5,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- Mississippi, New Hampshire ... Total, Group-C: 52,000 21. Minnesota (11) 57.16% 2,945 39.89% 2,055 2.30% --- 22. Mississippi (9) +++ 10.09% 1,500 2.62% --- 87.17% 4,500 0.12% --- 23. Missouri (12) 58.11% 2,917 41.49% 2,083 0.25% --- 24. Montana (4) 53.09% 2,758 43.15% 2,242 3.26% --- 25. Nebraska (6) 45.85% 2,292 54.15% 2,708 26. Nevada (3) 50.37% 2,580 47.26% 2,420 2.36% --- 27. New Hampshire (4) +++ 46.66% 2,826 52.41% 3,174 0.85% --- 28. New Jersey (16) 45.93% 2,386 50.33% 2,614 2.19% --- 29. New Mexico (4) 56.38% 2,839 42.93% 2,161 0.55% --- 30. New York (47) 45.01% 2,268 45.99% 2,317 8.25% 415 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- So Far (52,000) 25,311 21,774 4,500 415 Needed to Win - 76,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog Group D .. 2nd priority - 4,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- Oregon, South Carolina ... Total, Group-D: 38,000 31. North Carolina (14) 58.02% 2,332 32.68% 1,314 8.80% 354 0.49% --- 32. North Dakota (4) 43.41% 1,817 52.17% 2,183 0.17% --- 3.80% --- 33. Ohio (25) 49.48% 2,005 49.24% 1,995 1.28% --- 34. Oklahoma (10) 62.75% 2,510 37.25% 1,490 35. Oregon (6) +++ 46.40% 2,412 49.78% 2,588 2.86% --- 36. Pennsylvania (35) 46.92% 1,918 50.93% 2,082 1.48% --- 37. Rhode Island (4) 57.59% 2,326 41.44% 1,674 0.80% --- 38. South Carolina (8) +++ 24.14% 1,256 3.78% --- 71.97% 3,744 0.11% --- 39. South Dakota (4) 47.04% 1,903 51.84% 2,097 1.12% --- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- So Far (90,000) 43,790 37,197 8,598 415 Needed to Win - 76,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog Group E .. 3rd priority - 3,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- Virginia, Wisconsin ... Total, Group-E: 29,000 40. Tennessee (12) 49.14% 1,483 36.87% 1,113 13.41% 404 0.34% --- 41. Texas (23) 65.96% 1,992 24.29% 733 9.11% 275 0.31% --- 42. Utah (6) 53.98% 1,636 45.02% 1,364 0.97% --- 43. Vermont (3) 36.92% 1,125 61.54% 1,875 1.04% --- 44. Virginia (11) +++ 47.89% 1,929 41.04% 1,654 10.35% 417 0.49% --- 45. Washington (8) 52.61% 1,590 42.68% 1,410 3.50% --- 46. West Virginia (8) 57.32% 1,727 42.24% 1,273 0.44% --- 47. Wisconsin (12) +++ 50.70% 2,091 46.28% 1,909 1.98% --- 48. Wyoming (3) 51.62% 1,566 47.27% 1,434 0.92% --- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- So Far (119,000) 58,929 49,962 9,694 415 Needed to Win - 76,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog Group A .. 4th priority - 2,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- Arizona, Deleware ... Total, Group-A: 22,000 1. Alabama (11) ***1 19.04% 500 79.75% 1,500 0.71% --- 2. Arizona (4) +++ 53.79% 1,653 43.82% 1,347 1.87% --- 3. Arkansas (9) 61.72% 1,244 21.02% 424 16.52% 332 0.31% --- 4. California (25) 47.57% 1,005 47.13% 995 0.03% --- 4.73% --- 5. Colorado (6) 51.88% 1,056 46.42% 944 1.55% --- 6. Connecticut (8) 47.91% 983 49.55% 1,017 1.55% --- 7. Delaware (3) +++ 48.76% 1,470 50.04% 1,530 0.75% --- 8. Florida (8) 48.82% 996 33.63% 686 15.54% 318 2.01% --- 9. Georgia (12) 60.81% 1,223 18.31% 368 20.31% 409 0.39% --- 10. Idaho (4) 49.98% 1,028 47.26% 972 2.31% --- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- So Far (141,000) 69,587 58,745 12,253 415 Needed to Win - 76,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog ***1 = Alabama (Group A, above) The state's Democratic Party leadership kept Truman's name off of all state ballots, and apparently offered the voters unpledged electors instead. Thurmond and Dewey were the only named candidates eligible to receive Electoral Points. Group B .. 5th priority - 1,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- Indiana, Maine ... Total, Group-B: 12,000 11. Illinois (28) 50.07% 504 49.22% 496 12. Indiana (13) +++ 48.78% 992 49.58% 1,008 0.58% --- 13. Iowa (10) 50.31% 514 47.58% 486 1.17% --- 14. Kansas (8) 44.61% 454 53.63% 546 0.58% --- 15. Kentucky (11) 56.74% 578 41.48% 422 1.27% --- 0.19% --- 16. Louisiana (10) 32.75% 330 17.45% 176 49.07% 494 0.73% --- 17. Maine (5) +++ 42.27% 854 56.74% 1,146 0.71% --- 18. Maryland (8) 48.01% 493 49.40% 507 0.41% --- 1.67% --- 19. Massachusetts (16) 54.66% 559 43.16% 441 1.81% --- 20. Michigan (19) 47.57% 491 49.23% 509 2.20% --- -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL - 153,000 75,356 64,482 12,747 415 Needed to Win - 76,510 Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog Finish Order Leader-1st 2nd 3rd 4th Perecentage of Points 49.23922% 42.14509% 8.33137% 0.27124% No winner in the Electoral Points Proposal format. A run-off between Truman and Dewey would be scheduled for Tuesday November 30th, 1948. If Dewey wins the run-off, then he would be inaugurated on February 3rd 1949, two weeks later than the regular January 20th date. If Truman won the run-off, he would be inaugurated on the regular January 20th date. Make special note that Truman is only 1,154 points short of the 76,510 need-to-win mark, while Dewey is 10,874 points behind Truman and 12,028 points short of the need-to-win mark. If Dewey felt that he could not surpass Truman and win the run-off, then Dewey could exercise the Voluntary Concession Option. If Dewey did indeed choose not to go through with the run-off and voluntarily conceded the race, then 1,164 of his own electoral points would be given to Truman, who would then be certified as the 1948 election, with a final point count of 76,520 to Dewey's 63,318. In actual fact, Truman was the outright winner of the 1948 election. Good Night, Mr. H. V. Kaltenborn - wherever you are !!! Need-to-Win Ratios (Final Tally vs Minimum Needed) ... »» Electoral Points - No concession (75,356 - 76,510): 0.984917-1 »» Electoral Votes (303 - 266): 1.139098-1 Truman-Dewey Ratios -- Electoral Points: 1.208503-1 (assumes concession) Electoral Votes: 1.603175-1 Electoral Votes (531) ***2 303 (57.06215%) 189 (35.59322%) 39 (7.34463%) None | |-- Actual (1948) Truman-D Dewey-R Thurmond-SR Wallace-Prog | Popular Votes (48,793,535) 24,179,347 21,991,292 1,175,930 1,157,328 Pctage of Pop. Votes 49.55441% 45.07009% 2.41001% 2.37189% ***2 = A faithless Tennessee Democratic elector chose Strom Thurmond instead of Harry Truman |
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