Electoral Points Proposal Example: 1952 Election

Bonus .... The Univac Computer's 1952 Election Prediction .... Tues Nov. 4th, 1952

The 1952 U.S. Presidential election marked the first time that a modern electronic computer was used to predict the outcome of a national
election. On Election Nite November 4th 1952, at about 8:30 pm Eastern Time, CBS newsman Charles Collingwood introduced viewers to
the Univac computer, and "asked" the machine if it had any prediction regarding the election's final outcome. At this point, only about
five percent of the national returns had been reported in to CBS. Univac printed out its answer, and Collingwood quietly looked it over.
He held back his reaction to the print out and told viewers, "Well, I don't think Univac's quite ready to say yet. It seems to be a bit honest,
perhaps more so than most (political) commentators. But we'll check back with Univac a little later on."

Almost three hours later, after the almost final returns showed that Republican candidate Dwight Eisenhower was defeating his
Democratic challenger Adlai Stevenson by the biggest landslide up to that time, representatives of Remington-Rand, Univac's
maker, admitted that the machine had indeed predicted, with near-flawless accuracy, the election's outcome. "Next year", the
reps sheepishly declared, "we will most surely believe what it tells us !!!!"

BTW -- NBC-TV also used a computing machine of its own on that election night -- Monroe's Monrobot III -- and it is said
that the Monrobot's prediction was similiar to Univac's and was supposedly broadcast first. Yet, it seems that Univac,
with support from Remington-Rand, perhaps garnered just a bit more post-election publicity than did the Monrobot.

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Under each candidate (L » R): Pop. Vote Percentage - Electoral Points ----------------- Dwight D. Adlai E. State | Electoral Eisenhower Stevenson | Votes Republican Democrat Group D .. 1st priority - 5,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- South Dakota ... Total, Group-D: 46,000 31. North Carolina (14) 46.09% 2,304 53.91% 2,696 32. North Dakota (4) 70.97% 3,571 28.39% 1,429 33. Ohio (25) 56.76% 2,838 43.24% 2,162 34. Oklahoma (8) 54.59% 2,730 45.41% 2,270 35. Oregon (6) 60.54% 3,049 38.93% 1,951 36. Pennsylvania (32) 52.74% 2,648 46.85% 2,352 37. Rhode Island (4) 50.89% 2,546 49.05% 2,454 38. South Carolina (8) 49.28% 2,464 50.72% 2,536 39. South Dakota (4) +++ 69.27% 4,156 30.73% 1,844 -------------------------------------------------------------- So Far (46,000) 26,306 19,694 Needed to Win - 75,010 Eisenhower-R Stevenson-D Group E .. 2nd priority - 4,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- Texas, West Virginia .. Total, Group-E: 38,000 40. Tennessee (11) 49.99% 2,006 49.71% 1,994 41. Texas (24) +++ 53.13% 2,667 46.49% 2,333 42. Utah (4) 58.93% 2,357 41.07% 1,643 43. Vermont (3) 71.45% 2,866 28.23% 1,134 44. Virginia (12) 56.32% 2,260 43.36% 1,740 45. Washington (9) 54.33% 2,195 44.69% 1,805 46. West Virginia (8) +++ 48.08% 2,404 51.92% 2,596 47. Wisconsin (12) 60.95% 2,446 38.71% 1,554 48. Wyoming (3) 62.71% 2,513 37.09% 1,487 -------------------------------------------------------------- So Far (84,000) 48,020 35,980 Needed to Win - 75,010 Eisenhower-R Stevenson-D Group A .. 3rd priority - 3,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- California, Georgia .. Total, Group-A: 32,000 1. Alabama (11) 35.02% 1,055 64.55% 1,945 2. Arizona (4) 58.35% 1,751 41.65% 1,249 3. Arkansas (8) 43.76% 1,317 55.90% 1,683 4. California (32) +++ 56.83% 2,294 42.27% 1,706 5. Colorado (6) 60.27% 1,822 38.96% 1,178 6. Connecticut (8) 55.70% 1,678 43.91% 1,322 7. Delaware (3) 51.75% 1,558 47.88% 1,442 8. Florida (10) 54.99% 1,650 44.97% 1,350 9. Georgia (12) +++ 30.34% 1,214 69.66% 2,786 10. Idaho (4) 65.42% 1,966 34.42% 1,034 -------------------------------------------------------------- So Far (116,000) 64,325 51,675 Needed to Win - 75,010 Eisenhower-R Stevenson-D Group B .. 4th priority - 2,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- Kansas, Massachusetts .. Total, Group-B: 22,000 11. Illinois (27) 54.84% 1,099 44.94% 901 12. Indiana (13) 58.11% 1,162 40.99% 838 13. Iowa (9) 63.75% 1,283 35.59% 717 14. Kansas (8) +++ 68.77% 2,078 30.50% 922 15. Kentucky (10) 49.84% 999 49.91% 1,001 16. Louisiana (10) 47.08% 942 52.92% 1,058 17. Maine (5) 66.05% 1,323 33.77% 677 18. Maryland (9) 55.36% 1,116 43.83% 884 19. Massachusetts (16) +++ 54.22% 1,632 45.46% 1,368 20. Michigan (20) 55.44% 1,115 43.97% 885 -------------------------------------------------------------- So Far (138,000) 77,074 60,926 Needed to Win - 75,010 Eisenhower-R Stevenson-D Group C .. 5th priority - 1,000 pts each +++ Extra 1,000 points -- Montana, New Mexico ... Total, Group-C: 12,000 21. Minnesota (11) 55.33% 556 44.11% 444 22. Mississippi (8) 39.56% 396 60.44% 604 23. Missouri (13) 50.71% 508 49.14% 492 24. Montana (4) +++ 59.39% 1,194 40.07% 806 25. Nebraska (6) 69.15% 692 30.85% 308 26. Nevada (3) 61.45% 615 38.55% 385 27. New Hampshire (4) 60.92% 609 39.08% 391 28. New Jersey (16) 56.81% 569 41.99% 431 29. New Mexico (4) +++ 55.39% 1,111 44.28% 889 30. New York (45) 55.45% 560 43.55% 440 -------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL - 150,000 83,884 66,116 Needed to Win - 75,010 Eisenhower-R Stevenson-D Finish Order WINNER-1st Loser-2nd Percentage of Points 55.92267% 44.07733% Eisenhower-Stevenson Ratios --»» Electoral Points .. 1.268740-1 Electoral Votes ... 4.966292-1 Electoral Votes (531) 442 (83.23917%) 89 (16.76083%) | |----- Actual (1952) Eisenhower-R Stevenson-D | Popular Votes (61,751,942) 34,075,529 27,375,090 Pctage of Pop. Votes 55.18131% 44.33074%