2011 Fed Ex Cup - Alternative Final 30 Scenarios


2011 PGA Tour Season 2011 Fed Ex Cup Playoffs


1 .. Pre-2011 Tour Championship Leaders

Webb Simpson, with a win, Top-5 and Top-10 in the first three playoff events, is the #1 pre-Tour Championship
Fed Ex Cup leader over two other playoff event winners -- #2 Dustin Johnson by 1,420 pts; #3 Justin Rose, by
1,513 pts. Simpson leads #4 Luke Donald by 1,636 pts and #5 pts, and #5 Matt Kuchar by 1,912 pts.

The difference between #1 Simpson and # 30 Bo Van Pelt is 3,642 pts.

Full Top 30 Fed Ex Cup leaderboard going into the 2011 Tour Championship .....
                            FX Points                                    FX Points
   Rank  Player             Normal   Reset      Rank  Player             Normal  Reset
   ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    1    Webb Simpson       5,261    2,500      16    David Toms         1,958   380
    2    Dustin Johnson     3,841    2,250      17    Jonathan Byrd      1,945   360
    3    Justin Rose        3,748    2,000      18    Bubba Watson       1,927   340
    4    Luke Donald        3,625    1,800      19    Adam Scott         1,920   320
    5    Matt Kuchar        3,349    1,600      20    Keegan Bradley     1,883   310

    6    Brandt Snedeker    3,094    1,400      21    Hunter Mahan       1,851   300
    7    Nick Watney        2,516    1,200      22    Jason Dufner       1,806   290
    8    Chez Reavie        2,513    1,000      23    Vijay Singh        1,798   280
    9    John Senden        2,474      800      24    Geoff Ogilvy       1,789   270
   10    Jason Day          2,459      600      25    Bill Haas          1,788   260

   11    Gary Woodland      2,228      480      26  Charles Howell III   1,709   250
   12    Steve Stricker     2,205      460      27    Aaron Baddeley     1,692   240
   13    K.J. Choi          2,134      440      28    Y.E. Yang          1,663   230
   14    Phil Mickelson     2,110      420      29    Freddie Jacobson   1,660   220
   15    Mark Wilson        1,973      400      30    Bo Van Pelt        1,619   210


2 .. Pre-2011 Tour Championship:   Actual and Alternative Fed Ex Cup Points

The actual points distribution used (a total of 13,590 pts) for the 2011 Tour Championship was as follows ....
      1.. 2,500     6.. 500    11.. 350    16.. 275    21.. 250    26.. 225
      2.. 1,500     7.. 450    12.. 325    17.. 270    22.. 245    27.. 220
      3.. 1,000     8.. 425    13.. 300    18.. 265    23.. 240    28.. 215
      4..   750     9.. 400    14.. 285    19.. 260    24.. 235    29.. 210
      5..   550    10.. 375    15.. 280    20.. 255    25.. 230    30.. 205
For 2011, an alternative points distribution method, which offers a total of 42,000 pts, calculated,
approved and announced on the Monday before play in the Tour Championship begins, is as follows ....
      1.. 7,000     6.. 1,680    11.. 1,092    16.. 952    21.. 826    26.. 756
      2.. 3,850     7.. 1,470    12.. 1,064    17.. 924    22.. 812    27.. 742
      3.. 2,940     8.. 1,260    13.. 1,036    18.. 896    23.. 798    28.. 728
      4.. 2,240     9.. 1,190    14.. 1,008    19.. 868    24.. 784    29.. 714
      5.. 1,960    10.. 1,120    15..   980    20.. 840    25.. 770    30.. 700
With the alternative points distribution in effect, a few of the potential scenarios it creates are as follows ....

»» Players #1 thru #13 ........ JUST WIN, BABY!

»» Players #14 thru #29
    Combination of winning Tour Championship (7,000 pts)
    -AND-
    Webb Simpson finishing no better than a two-way tie for 2nd (3,395 pts)

»» Player #30 (Bo Van Pelt)
    Combination of winning Tour Championship (7,000 pts)
    -AND-
    Webb Simpson finishing no better than a three-way tie for 2nd (3,010 pts)


The customized alternative Tour Championship points makes the 2011 Fed Ex Cup winning scenarios less complex and
easier to understand. Also, a sense of real urgency to play as well as one can rather than just coasting along is created,
especially for the leading players who, in the right scenario, can easily be surpassed by any player in the field.

Now, on to the actual 2011 Tour Championship results, which will include the alternative points distribution and the
various potential scenarios which have been created by such points. One can compare and contrast both Tour
Championship reset and non-reset scores, as well as the final "actual" and "alternative" Fed Ex Cup standings.



3 .. The 2011 Tour Championship: Actual results, plus alternative points

Webb Simpson's low finish (solo 22nd) insured a wide-open chase for the Fed Ex Cup title in both actual and
alternative mode. It came down to Bill Haas defeating Hunter Mahan in sudden-death, a dramatic par-saving
pitch from out of a hazard on the 2nd extra hole being the key stroke.

Three players finished one stroke behind Haas and Mahan, while three more finished two strokes behind.

See further down this page for actual and alternative final standings, as well as the alternative scenarios
that would have occurred if Mahan had won the playoff.

PURSE: $ 8,000,000     1st Prize: $ 1,440,000     No-Cut Field of 30     30 of 30 finishers
   Player            Finish   Scores                 Tournament    FX Points
   --                --       --                     Money         Actual   Alternative
   -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
   Bill Haas         WINNER   68, 67, 69, 68 = 272   $ 1,440,000   2,500     7,000

        NOTE: Haas defeated Mahan in a sudden-death playoff

   Hunter Mahan          2    67, 68, 66, 71 = 272   $   864,000   1,500     3,850

   Luke Donald          T3    66, 68, 70, 69 = 273   $   418,667   767       2,380
   K.J. Choi            T3    68, 65, 70, 70 = 273   $   418,667   767       2,380
   Aaron Baddeley       T3    68, 69, 64, 72 = 273   $   418,667   767       2,380

   Charles Howell III   T6    67, 71, 68, 68 = 274   $   272,000   459       1,470
   Jason Day            T6    67, 67, 69, 71 = 274   $   272,000   459       1,470
   Adam Scott           T6    67, 65, 74, 68 = 274   $   272,000   459       1,470

   Bo Van Pelt           9    71, 70, 66, 68 = 275   $   240,000   400       1,190

   Phil Mickelson       10    68, 70, 67, 71 = 276   $   227,200   375       1,120

   Keegan Bradley      T11    64, 71, 72, 70 = 277   $   210,400   337.50    1,078
   Geoff Ogilvy        T11    69, 68, 72, 68 = 277   $   210,400   337.50    1,078

   Jason Dufner        T13    66, 70, 73, 69 = 278   $   190,400   292.50    1,022
   Gary Woodland       T13    72, 68, 72, 66 = 278   $   190,400   292.50    1,022

   Steve Stricker       15    68, 70, 69, 72 = 279   $   176,000   280       980

   Freddie Jacobson    T16    70, 67, 68, 75 = 280   $   162,400   267.50    910
   Vijay Singh         T16    74, 67, 70, 69 = 280   $   162,400   267.50    910
   Brandt Snedeker     T16    68, 69, 74, 69 = 280   $   162,400   267.50    910
   David Toms          T16    73, 65, 73, 69 = 280   $   162,400   267.50    910

   Matt Kuchar         T20    67, 70, 71, 73 = 281   $   152,000   252.50    833
   ustin Rose          T20    69, 75, 70, 67 = 281   $   152,000   252.50    833

   Webb Simpson         22    69, 70, 70, 73 = 282   $   147,200   245       812

   Dustin Johnson      T23    70, 73, 70, 70 = 283   $   142,400   237.50    791
   Bubba Watson        T23    71, 64, 79, 69 = 283   $   142,400   237.50    791

   John Senden          25    73, 71, 69, 71 = 284   $   137,600   230       770

   Chez Reavie         T26    66, 77, 68, 74 = 285   $   132,800   220       742
   Nick Watney         T26    72, 67, 72, 74 = 285   $   132,800   220       742
   Mark Wilson         T26    72, 70, 74, 69 = 285   $   132,800   220       742

   Y.E. Yang            29    72, 70, 75, 72 = 289   $   129,600   210       714

   Jonathan Byrd        30    70, 74, 73, 75 = 292   $   128,000   205       700


4 .. Final 2011 Fed Ex Cup Top 30 Standings -- Actual and Alternative

Biggest standings changes are Hunter Mahan, from #7 actual to #4 alternative, and Aaron
Baddeley, from #14 actual to #9 alternative.

In actual mode, Keegan Bradley and David Toms tied for 20th, each receiving $ 222,500.

See further down this page the actual and alternative results for a Mahan instead of Haas playoff win.
   --                      Actual      --                  Alternative    Fed Ex Cup
   Rank  Player            Points      Rank  Player             Points    Bonus Money
   ------------------------------      -------------------------------    ------------
    1    Bill Haas         2,760        1    Bill Haas          8,788     $ 10,000,000

    2    Webb Simpson      2,745        2    Webb Simpson       6,073     $ 3,000,000

    3    Luke Donald       2,567        3    Luke Donald        6,005     $ 2,000,000

    4    Dustin Johnson    2,488        4    Hunter Mahan       5,701     $ 1,500,000

    5    Justin Rose       2,253        5    Dustin Johnson     4,632     $ 1,000,000

    6    Matt Kuchar       1,853        6    Justin Rose        4,581     $ 800,000
    7    Hunter Mahan      1,800        7    K.J. Choi          4,514     $ 700,000
    8    Brandt Snedeker   1,668        8    Matt Kuchar        4,182     $ 600,000
    9    Nick Watney       1,420        9    Aaron Baddeley     4,072     $ 550,000
   10    Chez Reavie       1,220       10    Brandt Snedeker    4,004     $ 500,000

   11    K.J. Choi         1,207       11    Jason Day          3,920     $ 300,000
   12    Jason Day         1,058       12    Adam Scott         3,390     $ 290,000
   13    John Senden       1,030       13    Nick Watney        3,258     $ 280,000
   14    Aaron Baddeley    1,007       14    Chez Reavie        3,255     $ 270,000
   15    Phil Mickelson      795       15    Gary Woodland      3,250     $ 250,000

   16    Adam Scott          778       16    John Senden        3,244     $ 245,000
   17    Gary Woodland       773       17    Phil Mickelson     3,230     $ 240,000
   18    Steve Stricker      740       18    Steve Stricker     3,185     $ 235,000
   19  Charles Howell III    708       19  Charles Howell III   3,179     $ 230,000
   20    Keegan Bradley      648 **1   20    Keegan Bradley     2,961     $ 225,000

   20    David Toms          648 **1   21    David Toms         2,868     $ 220,000
   22    Mark Wilson         620       22    Geoff Ogilvy       2,867     $ 215,000
   23    Bo Van Pelt         610       23    Jason Dufner       2,828     $ 210,000
   24    Geoff Ogilvy        608       24    Bo Van Pelt        2,809     $ 205,000
   25    Jason Dufner        583       25    Bubba Watson       2,718     $ 200,000

   26    Bubba Watson        578       26    Mark Wilson        2,715     $ 195,000
   27    Jonathan Byrd       565       27    Vijay Singh        2,708     $ 190,000
   28    Vijay Singh         548       28    Jonathan Byrd      2,645     $ 185,000
   29    Freddie Jacobson    488       29    Freddie Jacobson   2,570     $ 180,000
   30    Y.E. Yang           440       30    Y.E. Yang          2,377     $ 175,000


5 .. Alternative 2011 Tour Championship Playoff Results

A supposing that Hunter Mahan won the 2011 Tour Championship sudden-death playoff instead of Bill Haas.
These scenarios assume that nothing else changes beyond just the sudden-death playoff results.

Scenario (A) -- A Hunter Mahan win.     Scenario (B) -- A Bill Haas win.
   ACTUAL MODE                  ALTERNATIVE MODE
   --                                 --                                   Fed Ex Cup
   Rank  Player            Points     Rank   Player             Points     Bonus Money
   -------------------------------    --------------------------------     ------------
     1   Hunter Mahan (A)  2,800        1    Hunter Mahan (A)   8,851      $ 10,000,000
         Bill Haas (B)     2,760             Bill Haas (B)      8,788

     2   Webb Simpson      2,745        2    Webb Simpson       6,073      $ 3,000,000

     3   Luke Donald       2,567        3    Luke Donald        6,005      $ 2,000,000

     4   Dustin Johnson    2,488        4    Hunter Mahan (B)   5,701      $ 1,500,000
                                             Bill Haas (A)      5,638

     5   Justin Rose       2,253        5    Dustin Johnson     4,632      $ 1,000,000

     6   Matt Kuchar       1,853        6    Justin Rose        4,581      $ 800,000

     7   Hunter Mahan (A)  1,800        7    K.J. Choi          4,514      $ 700,000
         Bill Haas (B)     1,760

   All results below 7th place in either actual or alternative points mode unchanged.




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2011 Fed Ex Cup - Alternative Final 30 Scenarios


2011 PGA Tour Season 2011 Fed Ex Cup Playoffs


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