2021 Fed Ex Cup - Alternative Final 30 Scenarios


2020-21 PGA Tour Season 2021 Fed Ex Cup Playoffs


1 .. Pre-2021 Tour Championship Leaders

Following an exciting six-hole playoff win at the BMW Championship, Patrick Cantlay (#1 - 4,302 pts) leads in the "X Chase"
standings, followed by Tony Finau (#2 - 3,564), Bryson DeChambeau (#3 - 3,189), Jon Rahm (#4 - 3,063) and Cameron Smith
(# 5 - 2,821). The difference between #1 Cantlay and # 30 Patrick Reed (1,381) is 2,921 points.

The full Top 30 Fed Ex Cup leaderboard going into the 2021 Tour Championship .....
    --                         Normal  Reset    --                         Normal  Reset
    Rank  Player               Pts     Score    Rank  Player               Pts     Score
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     1    Patrick Cantlay      4,302   -10      16    Rory McIlroy         1,878   -2
     2    Tony Finau           3,564   -8       17    Xander Schauffele    1,854   -2
     3    Bryson DeChambeau    3,189   -7       18    Jason Kokrak         1,847   -2
     4    Jon Rahm             3,063   -6       19    Kevin Na             1,816   -2
     5    Cameron Smith        2,821   -5       20    Brooks Koepka        1,793   -2

     6    Justin Thomas        2,371   -4       21    Corey Conners        1,684   -1
     7    Harris English       2,248   -4       22    Hideki Matsuyama     1,681   -1
     8    Abraham Ancer        2,241   -4       23    Stewart Cink         1,656   -1
     9    Jordan Spieth        2,232   -4       24    Joaquin Niemann      1,629   -1
    10    Sam Burns            2,214   -4       25    Scottie Scheffler    1,608   -1

    11    Collin Morikawa      2,188   -3       26    Daniel Berger        1,594   Par
    12    Sungjae Im           2,141   -3       27    Eric van Rooyen      1,448   Par
    13    Viktor Hovland       1,951   -3       28    Sergio Garcia        1,400   Par
    14    Louis Oosthuizen     1,935   -3       29    Billy Horschel       1,397   Par
    15    Dustin Johnson       1,890   -3       30    Patrick Reed         1,381   Par


2 .. Pre-2021 Tour Championship:   Actual and Alternative Fed Ex Cup Points

Because of the reset scoring format being used, there will be no points distribution at the 2021
Tour Championship. Shown below are the reset scores assigned to each of the 30 positions.
     1.. -10     6.. -4     11.. -3     16.. -2     21.. -1     26.. Par
     2.. -8      7.. -4     12.. -3     17.. -2     22.. -1     27.. Par
     3.. -7      8.. -4     13.. -3     18.. -2     23.. -1     28.. Par
     4.. -6      9.. -4     14.. -3     19.. -2     24.. -1     29.. Par
     5.. -5     10.. -4     15.. -3     20.. -2     25.. -1     30.. Par
Now, we will assume that, in our "alternative" scenario, the non-reset points-to-date are being used instead of the
pre-tournament reset scores. On this basis, a calculated total of 30,000 Tour Championship points are approved and
announced on the Monday before the start of the tournament. The complete 30-place distribution is as follows ....
     1.. 5,000     6.. 1,200    11.. 780    16.. 680    21.. 590    26.. 540
     2.. 2,750     7.. 1,050    12.. 760    17.. 660    22.. 580    27.. 530
     3.. 2,100     8..   900    13.. 740    18.. 640    23.. 570    28.. 520
     4.. 1,600     9..   850    14.. 720    19.. 620    24.. 560    29.. 510
     5.. 1,400    10..   800    15.. 700    20.. 600    25.. 550    30.. 500
With the alternative points distribution in effect, a few of the potential scenarios it creates are as follows ....

»» Players #1 thru #12 ........ JUST WIN, BABY!

»» Players #13 thru #20
    Combination of winning Tour Championship (5,000 pts)
    -AND-
    Patrick Cantlay finishing no better than a two-way tie for 2nd (2,425 pts)

»» Players #21 thru #26
    Combination of winning Tour Championship (5,000 pts)
    -AND-
    Patrick Cantlay finishing no better than a three-way tie for 2nd (2,150 pts)
    or no betther than solo 3rd (2,100 pts)

»» Players #27 thru #30
    Combination of winning Tour Championship (5,000 pts)
    -AND-
    Patrick Cantlay finishing no better than a two-way tie
    for 3rd (1,850 pts)

    # 27 Eric van Rooyen (1,448 pts) could also claim the Fed Ex Cup by winning
    the Tour Championship (5,000 pts), while Patrick Cantlay (4,302 pts) finishes
    no better than solo 3rd (2,100 pts).


The customized alternative Tour Championship points makes the 2021 Fed Ex Cup winning scenarios less complex and
easier to understand. Also, a sense of real urgency to play as well as one can rather than just coasting along is created,
especially for the leading players who, in the right scenario, can easily be surpassed by any player in the field.

Now, on to the actual 2021 Tour Championship results, which will include the alternative points distribution and the
various potential scenarios which have been created by such points. One can compare and contrast both Tour
Championship reset and non-reset scores, as well as the final "actual" and "alternative" Fed Ex Cup standings.



3 .. The 2021 Tour Championship .... Part 1 - Actual results

NOTE ..... This section shows the actual final results using the pre-tournament reset scores.

Thanks to the reset score format, it was a tense battle between Patrick Cantlay and Jon Rahm all the way to the last green.
Cantlay survived a near-disasterous bogey on the 17th hole to keep his lead, then hit two great shots into the 18th green,
setting up a two-putt birdie that sealed the victory. The 2021 Fed Ex Championship, again thanks to the reset score format,
belonged to Cantlay. Rahm finished solo 2nd, while Kevin Na was solo 3rd, and Justin Thomas was solo 4th.

Tony Finau, who had been the pre-tourney 2nd place reset score leader (-8 vs Cantlay's -10), could not do better than
even par within the tournament itself. Meanwhile, Daniel Berger, even par pre-tourney, was 8-under-par for the tourney
itself, finishing tied for 11th with Finau and Jason Kokrak.

Brooks Koepka incurred an injury during the 3rd round and had to withdraw from the
tournament. As a result, he finished 30th in the final "actual" Fed Ex Cup standings.

That's the "Actual" story. But if you check out the in-tournament-only 72-holes scores, you'll quickly discover that
the "Alternative" story is very, very different.   To be specific, there is -NO- "Alternative" Tour Champion winner,
and -NO- "Alternative" Fed Ex Champion -- What in the Fork, Knife and Spoon ?? See the next section for the most
amazing, most thrilling non-conclusion of the 2021 "X Chase".
    --                  --       Scores for 72 holes    Under-Even-Over Par
    Player              Finish   including non-reset    Final     Original  Fed Ex Cup
    --                  --       under-even-over par    Combined  Reset     Bonus Money
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Patrick Cantlay     WINNER   67, 66, 67, 69 = 269/-11   -21     -10     $15,000,000

    Jon Rahm            2nd      65, 65, 68, 68 = 266/-14   -20     -6      $ 5,000,000

    Kevin Na            3rd      66, 67, 66, 67 = 266/-14   -16     -2      $ 4,000,000

    Justin Thomas       4th      67, 67, 70, 65 = 269/-11   -15     -4      $ 3,000,000

    Xander Schauffele   T-5      68, 69, 67, 64 = 268/-12   -14     -2      $ 2,200,000
    Viktor Hovland      T-5      66, 68, 70, 65 = 269/-11   -14     -3      $ 2,200,000

    Bryson DeChambeau   7th      69, 67, 72, 66 = 274/-6    -13     -7      $ 1,300,000

    Dustin Johnson      8th      68, 69, 68, 67 = 272/-8    -11     -3      $ 1,100,000

    Abraham Ancer       T-9      69, 70, 65, 70 = 274/-6    -10     -4      $ 890,000
    Billy Horschel      T-9      65, 67, 68, 70 = 270/-10   -10    Par      $ 890,000

    Daniel Berger       T-11     72, 69, 67, 64 = 272/-8     -8    Par      $ 705,000
    Tony Finau          T-11     72, 67, 73, 68 = 280/ E     -8     -8      $ 705,000
    Jason Kokrak        T-11     67, 68, 72, 67 = 274/-6     -8     -2      $ 705,000

    Rory McIlroy        T-14     68, 66, 74, 67 = 275/-5     -7     -2      $ 583,750
    Sergio Garcia       T-14     68, 70, 66, 69 = 273/-7     -7    Par      $ 583,750
    Cameron Smith       T-14     68, 68, 73, 69 = 278/-2     -7     -5      $ 583,750
    Louis Oosthuizen    T-14     68, 67, 71, 70 = 276/-4     -7     -3      $ 583,750

    Harris English      T-18     66, 69, 75, 68 = 278/-2     -6     -4      $ 527,500
    Sam Burns           T-18     71, 70, 69, 68 = 278/-2     -6     -4      $ 527,500

    Sungae Im           T-20     71, 70, 70, 68 = 279/-1     -4     -3      $ 497,500
    Jordan Spieth       T-20     69, 67, 70, 74 = 280/ E     -4     -4      $ 497,500

    Eric van Rooyen     T-22     69, 73, 68, 67 = 277/-3     -3    Par      $ 466,666+
    Corey Conners       T-22     67, 72, 70, 69 = 278/-2     -3     -1      $ 466,666+
    Scottie Scheffler   T-22     67, 72, 68, 72 = 278/-2     -3     -1      $ 466,666+

    Patrick Reed        25th     72, 69, 66, 71 = 278/-2     -2    Par      $ 445,000

    Hideki Matsuyama    T-26     77, 65, 69, 70 = 281/+1    Par     -1      $ 425,000
    Stewart Cink        T-26     72, 68, 71, 70 = 281/+1    Par     -1      $ 425,000
    Collin Morikawa     T-26     70, 73, 68, 72 = 283/+3    Par     -3      $ 425,000

    Joaquin Niemann     29th     72, 71, 70, 72 = 285/+5     +4     -1      $ 405,000

    Brooks Koepka       W/D      67, 71, xx, xx = 138/-2    ---     -2      $ 395,000


4 .. The 2021 Tour Championship .... Part 2 - Alternative results

In "alternative" mode, with -NO- reset scores used, "actual" mode winner Patrick Cantlay finishes with an in-tournament score
of 269 (11-under-par), three strokes behind Jon Rahm and Kevin Na, who are tied for first place with in-tournament scores of
(14-under-par) each. Naturally, one would assume that a playoff between Rahm and Na for the "Alternative" Tour Championship
and FedX Cup titles would occur.   But Hold On!   Don't bother staying tuned to NBC, and don't bother switching over to the Golf
Channel. Thanks to the "actual" way the 2021 Tour Championship ended, the "alternative" playoff can't happen -- Ever !!!

As a result of this wonderful turn of events, a few of the final "alternative" 2021 Fed Ex Cup placings are in
limbo, while others are in proper order. We can only speculate as to the final "alternative" outcomes based
on either Kevin Na or Jon Rahm winning a sudden-death playoff. This is done in the next section below.

PURSE: $ 9,500,000     1st Prize: $ 1,710,000     No-Cut Field of 30     29 of 30 finishers

This section shows final tournament results using an alternative points method, instead of the actual reset scores format.
It is also assumed that the tournament itself offers a regular official purse, separate from actual Fed Ex Cup bonus money.

NOTE ... 1st Place: $ 1,710,000 // 5,000 points     2nd Place: $ 1,026,000 // 2,750 points
    Player              Finish   Scores                 Alternative   Tournament
    --                  --       --                          Points   Money
    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Jon Rahm          Tie-1st    65, 65, 68, 68 = 266/-14    ?,???    ???

    Kevin Na          Tie-1st    66, 67, 66, 67 = 266/-14    ?,???    ???

    Xander Schauffele   3rd      68, 69, 67, 64 = 268/-12    2,100    $ 655,500

    Patrick Cantlay     T-4      67, 66, 67, 69 = 269/-11    1,400    $ 278,666 +
    Justin Thomas       T-4      67, 67, 70, 65 = 269/-11    1,400    $ 278,666 +
    Viktor Hovland      T-4      66, 68, 70, 65 = 269/-11    1,400    $ 278,666 +

    Billy Horschel      7th      65, 67, 68, 70 = 270/-10    1,050    $ 323,000

    Dustin Johnson      T-8      68, 69, 68, 67 = 272/-8     875      $ 294,500
    Daniel Berger       T-8      72, 69, 67, 64 = 272/-8     875      $ 294,500

    Sergio Garcia       10th     68, 70, 66, 69 = 273/-7     800      $ 269,800

    Bryson DeChambeau   T-11     69, 67, 72, 66 = 274/-6     760      $ 243,833 +
    Abraham Ancer       T-11     69, 70, 65, 70 = 274/-6     760      $ 243,833 +
    Jason Kokrak        T-11     67, 68, 72, 67 = 274/-6     760      $ 243,833 +

    Rory McIlroy        14th     68, 66, 74, 67 = 275/-5     720      $ 220,400

    Louis Oosthuizen    15th     68, 67, 71, 70 = 276/-4     700      $ 209,000

    Eric van Rooyen     16th     69, 73, 68, 67 = 277/-3     680      $ 201,400

    Cameron Smith       T-17     68, 68, 73, 69 = 278/-2     615      $ 184,300
    Harris English      T-17     66, 69, 75, 68 = 278/-2     615      $ 184,300
    Sam Burns           T-17     71, 70, 69, 68 = 278/-2     615      $ 184,300
    Corey Conners       T-17     67, 72, 70, 69 = 278/-2     615      $ 184,300
    Scottie Scheffler   T-17     67, 72, 68, 72 = 278/-2     615      $ 184,300
    Patrick Reed        T-17     72, 69, 66, 71 = 278/-2     615      $ 184,300

    Sungae Im           23rd     71, 70, 70, 68 = 279/-1     570      $ 171,000

    Tony Finau          T-24     72, 67, 73, 68 = 280/ E     555      $ 165,300
    Jordan Spieth       T-24     69, 67, 70, 74 = 280/ E     555      $ 165,300

    Hideki Matsuyama    T-26     77, 65, 69, 70 = 281/+1     535      $ 158,650
    Stewart Cink        T-26     72, 68, 71, 70 = 281/+1     535      $ 158,650

    Collin Morikawa     28th     70, 73, 68, 72 = 283/+3     520      $ 155,800

    Joaquin Niemann     29th     72, 71, 70, 72 = 285/+5     510      $ 153,900

    Brooks Koepka       WD       67, 71, xx, xx = 138/-2     None     $ ---,----

    NOTE: Brooks Koepka withdrew due to injury during the third round. As a result,
          he would not receive any official "alternative" points, but would receive
          $152,000 of "alternative" unofficial 30th place tournament money.



5 .. Final 2021 Fed Ex Cup Top 30 Standings .... Actual and Alternative
** = Each player's score in the actual results is the combination of the pre-tournament
     under-even-over par reset score and the player's in-tournament 72-hole under-even-over
     par total.         

** = Alternative
     Scenarios ---- (A) .. Jon Rahm playoff win       (B) .. Kevin Na playoff win      

ACTUAL 2021 RESULTS                  ALTERNATIVE 2021 RESULTS

--                              Fed Ex Cup    --                   Alternative  Fed Ex Cup
Rank  Player         Scores **  Bonus Money   Rank  Player              Points  Bonus Money
--------------------------------------------  -------------------------------  ------------
  1   Patrick Cantlay    -21    $ 15,000,000    1   Jon Rahm (A)        8,063   $ 15,000,000
                                                    -OR-
                                                    Kevin Na (B)        6,816

  2   Jon Rahm           -20    $ 5,000,000     2   Patrick Cantlay (A) 5,702   $ 5,000,000
                                                    -OR-
                                                    Jon Rahm (B)        5,813

  3   Kevin Na           -16    $ 4,000,000     3   Kevin Na (A)        4,566   $ 4,000,000
                                                    -OR-
                                                    Patrick Cantlay (B) 5,702
  -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  4   Justin Thomas      -15    $ 3,000,000     4   Tony Finau          4,119   $ 3,000,000

T-5   Xander Schauffele  -14    $ 2,200,000     5   Xander Schauffele   3,954   $ 2,500,000
T-5   Viktor Hovland     -14    $ 2,200,000     6   Bryson DeChambeau   3,949   $ 1,900,000

  7   Bryson DeChambeau  -13    $ 1,300,000     7   Justin Thomas       3,771   $ 1,300,000

  8   Dustin Johnson     -11    $ 1,100,000     8   Cameron Smith       3,426   $ 1,100,000

T-9   Abraham Ancer      -10    $ 890,000       9   Viktor Hovland      3,351   $ 950,000
T-9   Billy Horschel     -10    $ 890,000      10   Abraham Ancer       3,002   $ 830,000

T-11  Daniel Berger       -8    $ 705,000      11   Harris English      2,863   $ 750,000
T-11  Tony Finau          -8    $ 705,000      12   Sam Burns           2,829   $ 705,000
T-11  Jason Kokrak        -8    $ 705,000      13   Jordan Spieth       2,787   $ 660,000

T-14  Rory McIlroy        -7    $ 583,750      14   Dustin Johnson      2,765   $ 620,000
T-14  Sergio Garcia       -7    $ 583,750      15   Sungae Im           2,711   $ 595,000
T-14  Cameron Smith       -7    $ 583,750      16   Collin Morikawa     2,708   $ 570,000
T-14  Louis Oosterhuizen  -7    $ 583,750      17   Louis Oosthizen     2,635   $ 550,000

T-18  Harris English      -6    $ 527,500      18   Jason Kokrak        2,607   $ 535,000
T-18  Sam Burns           -6    $ 527,500      19   Rory McIlroy        2,598   $ 520,000

T-20  Sungae Im           -4    $ 497,500      20   Daniel Berger       2,469   $ 505,000
T-20  Jordan Spieth       -4    $ 497,500      21   Billy Horschel      2,447   $ 490,000

T-22  Eric van Rooyen     -3    $ 466,666 +    22   Corey Conners       2,299   $ 478,000
T-22  Corey Connors       -3    $ 466,666 +    23   Scottie Scheffler   2,223   $ 466,000
T-22  Scottie Scheffler   -3    $ 466,666 +    24   Hideki Matsuyama    2,216   $ 456,000

 25   Patrick Reed        -2    $ 445,000      25   Sergio Garcia       2,200   $ 445,000

T-26  Hideki Matsuyama   Par    $ 425,000      26   Stewart Cink        2,191   $ 435,000
T-26  Stewart Cink       Par    $ 425,000      27   Joaquin Niemann     2,139   $ 425,000
T-26  Collin Morikawa    Par    $ 425,000      28   Eric van Rooyen     2,128   $ 415,000

 29   Joaquin Niemann     +4    $ 405,000      29   Patrick Reed        1,996   $ 405,000

 30   Brooks Koepka       WD    $ 395,000      30   Brooks Koepka       1,793   $ 395,000




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2021 Fed Ex Cup - Alternative Final 30 Scenarios


2020-21 PGA Tour Season 2021 Fed Ex Cup Playoffs


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